The Role of These Blog Posts.
When resourcing the sites that looked at case data, I was disappointed by their focuses. Too much emphases were being placed on daily numbers and total numbers. Too much significance was being placed on the moment and not enough on the direction of the data. Finally, too much attention was placed on cases versus case rates.
A lot of this has changed. Although I see headlines about monstrous sized daily cases, I see more sites reporting weekly rates. Still I believe there is a need for my graphs. I report the trends over time and present the rankings of the states and how those rankings change.
Assembling each week's data sets takes a lot of time and leaves little for additional analyses. I usually have one day free to focus on some subject such as antibody tests or testing rates.
The Week Ending July 18th.
Here is a report of the case rates for the week ending July 18th.
It was another brutal week. Infection rates may have peaked in Arizona and South Carolina, while other states such as Nevada, Florida and Idaho became significantly worse. For the week ending June 6th, Maryland had a rate of 904.3 new cases per million population to rank first. This would not have made the top 20 this past week. Eleven states scored over 2000 new cases per million with Florida leading at 3867.2, a figure substantially higher than New York at its peak.
Here are the top 20 states for percent increase in their weekly cases, that is, the week ending July 18th compared to the week ending July 11th.
| one week | |
| increase | |
| Alaska | 49.6% |
| Alabama | 46.3% |
| Nevada | 45.1% |
| N. Dakota | 43.1% |
| Maryland | 42.9% |
| Montana | 41.9% |
| Tennessee | 41.1% |
| Indiana | 37.6% |
| Virginia | 37.3% |
| Rhode Island | 33.7% |
| Washington | 32.2% |
| Michigan | 31.1% |
| Missouri | 30.6% |
| Florida | 28.9% |
| Oklahoma | 27.6% |
| Nebraska | 26.6% |
| Kentucky | 23.2% |
| Vermont | 22.2% |
| Idaho | 21.1% |
| Illinois | 20.9% |
Note: some states start from very low numbers, such as Vermont which has ranked 51st each of the last three weeks.
Here are the top 20 for two week cases increases (the week ending July 18th versus the week ending July 4th).
| two weeks | |
| increase | |
| Montana | 122.1% |
| Kentucky | 108.7% |
| N. Dakota | 106.9% |
| Idaho | 85.1% |
| Colorado | 83.7% |
| Dist Col | 76.9% |
| Oklahoma | 75.7% |
| Missouri | 73.2% |
| Michigan | 71.2% |
| Alabama | 70.8% |
| Virginia | 68.5% |
| Indiana | 61.1% |
| Alaska | 59.5% |
| W. Virginia | 55.8% |
| Maryland | 54.5% |
| Tennessee | 53.8% |
| Louisiana | 52.4% |
| Washington | 51.7% |
| Minnesota | 51.6% |
| Nevada | 45.9% |
Each State Graphed.
The bars denote the rate of new cases per million population for the week. The numbers above the bars are the rankings of the states for the given week from 1 to 51 (including the District of Columbia). In order of rank:
Martin Hill Ortiz is a Professor of Pharmacology at Ponce Health Sciences University and has researched HIV for over thirty years.
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